World Economics - Insight , Analysis and Data

World Economics - Measuring Global Economic Activity
 

INDEXES

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Name Value Outlook
GMI: Americas - Marketing Index 59.1 Positive
GMI: Asia Pacific - Marketing Index 59.6 Positive
GMI: European - Marketing Index 55.8 Positive
GMI: Global - Marketing Index 58.1 Positive
GMI: Global - Marketing budgets 54.7 Positive
GMI: Global - Trading conditions 60.1 Positive
GMI: Global - Staffing 59.4 Positive
SMI: Philippines - SMI 80.4 Positive
SMI: Philippines - Confidence 99.7 Positive
SMI: Philippines - New Sales 89.5 Positive
SMI: Philippines - Staffing Levels 62.4 Positive
SMI: Philippines - Prices Charged 54.0 Falling
SMI: Philippines - Market Growth 96.3 Positive
SMI: Mexico - SMI 52.2 Positive
SMI: Mexico - Staffing Levels 49.3 Stable
SMI: Mexico - Market Growth 60.0 Positive
SMI: Mexico - New Sales 47.6 Negative
SMI: Mexico - Prices Charged 51.8 Stable
SMI: Mexico - Business Confidence 52.5 Positive
SMI: Nigeria - SMI 61.1 Positive
SMI: Nigeria - Business Confidence 78.4 Positive
SMI: Nigeria - New Sales 54.4 Positive
SMI: Nigeria - Market Growth 59.0 Positive
SMI: Nigeria - Prices Charged 57.7 Falling
SMI: Nigeria - Staffing Levels 55.8 Positive
SMI: India - SMI 68.2 Positive
SMI: India - Staffing Levels 60.8 Positive
SMI: India - Business Confidence 91.2 Positive
SMI: India - Prices Charged 51.1 Stable
SMI: India - Market Growth 63.4 Positive
SMI: India - New Sales 74.7 Positive
SMI: LatAm - SMI 54.3 Positive
SMI: LatAm - Staffing Levels 51.3 Stable
SMI: LatAm - Market Growth 56.5 Positive
SMI: LatAm - New Sales 50.5 Stable
SMI: LatAm - Prices Charged 63.1 Falling
SMI: LatAm - Business Confidence 50.0 Stable
SMI: Mongolia - SMI 32.9 Negative
SMI: Mongolia - Staffing Levels 38.8 Negative
SMI: Mongolia - New Sales 25.8 Negative
SMI: Mongolia - Prices Charged 45.1 Rising
SMI: Mongolia - Future Confidence 28.4 Negative
SMI: Mongolia - Market Growth 26.4 Negative
SMI: Africa - SMI 57.4 Positive
SMI: Africa - Business Confidence 69.9 Positive
SMI: Africa - New Sales 54.2 Positive
SMI: Africa - Market Growth 58.2 Positive
SMI: Africa - Prices Charged 52.9 Falling
SMI: Africa - Staffing Levels 51.9 Stable
SMI: China - SMI 54.7 Positive
SMI: China - New Sales 57.9 Positive
SMI: China - Staffing Levels 53.2 Positive
SMI: China - Market Growth 55.0 Positive
SMI: China - Prices Charged 49.0 Stable
SMI: China - Business Confidence 58.5 Positive
SMI: USA - SMI 59.6 Positive
SMI: USA - Prices Charged 56.2 Falling
SMI: USA - Market Growth 62.0 Positive
SMI: USA - New Sales 55.8 Positive
SMI: USA - Staffing Levels 55.0 Positive
SMI: USA - Business Confidence 68.9 Positive
GPI: Global - Gas Price Index 96.2 Falling
GPI: United States 77.9 Falling
GPI: China 81.8 Falling
GPI: Japan 101.6 Falling
GPI: India 97.4 Falling
GPI: Germany 86.7 Falling
GPI: United Kingdom 89.8 Falling
GPI: Russia 137.8 Rising
GPI: France 90.6 Falling
GPI: Brazil 89.9 Stable
GPI: Italy 108.4 Falling
HPI: Global - Hospitality Index 99.7 Rising
HPI: United States 121.4 Rising
HPI: China 79.0 Rising
HPI: Japan 100.5 Rising
HPI: India 118.4 Rising
HPI: Germany 122.2 Falling
HPI: United Kingdom 94.6 Falling
HPI: Russia 104.7 Rising
HPI: France 97.1 Falling
HPI: Brazil 100.0 Falling
HPI: Italy 59.1 Rising
CFPI: Global - Cost of Fun Index 97.3 Rising
CFPI: United States 82.6 Falling
CFPI: China 89.6 Rising
CFPI: Japan 90.1 Falling
CFPI: India 117.4 Falling
CFPI: Germany 93.9 Falling
CFPI: United Kingdom 91.9 Falling
CFPI: Russia 127.6 Rising
CFPI: France 98.0 Falling
CFPI: Brazil 96.4 Rising
CFPI: Italy 85.3 Falling
DPI: Global - Durables Price Index 94.5 Rising
DPI: United States 88.7 Falling
DPI: China 80.9 Rising
DPI: Japan 61.5 Falling
DPI: India 104.0 Rising
DPI: Germany 118.2 Rising
DPI: United Kingdom 90.9 Rising
DPI: Russia 92.1 Rising
DPI: France 90.7 Falling
DPI: Brazil 112.1 Rising
DPI: Italy 105.4 Falling
WPI: China 5.2 Rising
WPI: Japan 117.2 Rising
WPI: India 0.8 Stable
WPI: Germany 43.1 Rising
WPI: United Kingdom 0.7 Stable
WPI: Russia 1.0 Stable
WPI: Brazil 0.8 Falling
WPI: Italy 2.9 Stable
WPI: Argentina 10.6 Rising
WPI: Mexico 11.6 Stable
WPI: South Korea 1148.7 Falling
WPI: Canada 1.2 Stable
WPI: France 39.5 Rising
WPI: Spain 0.9 Stable
WPI: Turkey 2.0 Rising
FPI: Global - Food Price Index 101.3 Rising
FPI: United States 88.3 Falling
FPI: China 113.7 Rising
FPI: Japan 74.9 Falling
FPI: India 115.8 Rising
FPI: Germany 115.2 Rising
FPI: United Kingdom 88.1 Falling
FPI: Russia 105.0 Falling
FPI: France 89.9 Falling
FPI: Brazil 125.1 Rising
FPI: Italy 97.1 Stable
SMI: NAFTA - SMI 56.5 Positive
SMI: NAFTA - Market Growth 59.9 Positive
SMI: NAFTA - Prices Charged 53.0 Falling
SMI: NAFTA - Future Confidence 61.2 Positive
SMI: NAFTA - Staffing Levels 55.3 Positive
SMI: NAFTA - New Sales 53.1 Positive
SMI: Growth Conts. - SMI 58.1 Positive
SMI: Growth Conts. - Confidence 64.4 Positive
SMI: Growth Conts. - Prices Charged 52.7 Falling
SMI: Growth Conts. - Market Growth 57.9 Positive
SMI: Growth Conts. - Staffing Levels 55.2 Positive
SMI: Growth Conts. - New Sales 60.0 Positive
SMI: Americas - SMI 59.3 Positive
SMI: Americas - Market Growth 62.1 Positive
SMI: Americas - Future Confidence 64.0 Positive
SMI: Americas - Prices Charged 59.2 Falling
SMI: Americas - Staffing Levels 56.0 Positive
SMI: Americas - New Sales 55.1 Positive
SMI: Asia - SMI 59.7 Positive
SMI: Asia - Staffing Levels 56.1 Positive
SMI: Asia - Future Confidence 69.3 Positive
SMI: Asia - New Sales 63.6 Positive
SMI: Asia - Market Growth 59.1 Positive
SMI: Asia - Prices Charged 50.6 Stable
SMI: Global - SMI 58.5 Positive
SMI: Global - Future Confidence 66.1 Positive
SMI: Global - Staffing Levels 55.1 Positive
SMI: Global - Prices Charged 54.5 Falling
SMI: Global - Market Growth 58.6 Positive
SMI: Global - New Sales 58.3 Positive
SMI: Global - Man - SMI 58.4 Positive
SMI: Global - Man - Sales 57.7 Positive
SMI: Global - Man - Staffing 56.1 Positive
SMI: Global - Man - Prices 52.4 Positive
SMI: Global - Man - Market 59.3 Positive
SMI: Global - Man - Confidence 66.4 Positive
SMI: Global - Non-Man - SMI 58.6 Positive
SMI: Global - Non-Man - Market 58.3 Positive
SMI: Global - Non-Man - Sales 58.6 Positive
SMI: Global - Non-Man - Staffing 54.6 Positive
SMI: Global - Non-Man - Prices 55.5 Positive
SMI: Global - Non-Man - Confidence 66.0 Positive

Global Sales Managers' Indexes

Global Sales Managers' Index

  January 2015
Global All-Sector SMI
The January Index value of 58.5 remained unchanged on its value registered in December.

Global Manufacturing Sales Managers' Index
  January 2015
Global Manufacturing Sector SMI
The World Economics Global Manufacturing Sales Managers’ Index is the earliest economic activity report covering manufacturers in 70 countries worldwide.
Global Services Sales Managers' Index

  January 2015
Global Services Sector SMI
The Index registered a value of 58.6 in January, slightly down on December’s 58.7 figure. Panellists indicate that the global services sector continues to exhibit solid economic activity but is experiencing a slightly declining trend.

Sales Managers' Indexes - By Country

New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: China


  FEBRUARY 2015
The Sales Managers' Index: China
The China Index brings together the collective wisdom of Sales Managers throughout China. The earliest source of understanding about what’s really happening in the China.
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: India


  February 2015
The Sales Managers' Index: India
The Index signals that the Indian economy has been gaining momentum over the past year. The Index increased to 68.2 in February up from 68.0 in January, indicating that the economy is growing at a slightly faster pace. 
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Mexico


  February 2015
The Sales Managers' Index: Mexico
The Sales Managers’ Indexes, taken as a whole, show that the Mexican economy grew marginally in February but the rate of growth is continuing to fall.
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Mongolia


  February 2015
The Sales Managers' Index: Mongolia
The February Headline Index value of 32.9 indicates that the economy continues to contract at an increasing rate with business confidence and market growth falling further.

New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Nigeria


  February 2015
The Sales Managers' Index: Nigeria
The only available monthly economic indicator which covers all sectors of the Nigerian economy. The Indexes taken as a whole, show that economic growth in Nigeria was strong and broad based in February 2015.

New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Philippines


  February 2015
The Sales Managers' Index: Philippines
The Sales Managers’ Indexes, taken as a whole, show that economic growth in Philippines has been very strong. The headline SMI at 80.4 is congruent with strong development. 
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: United States


  FEBRUARY 2015
The Sales Managers' Index: United States
The SMI Headline Index registered a value of 59.9 in February, up 1.4 from its value in January. Sector analysis shows that the manufacturing sector was up by 1.0 as services also increased by 1.4.

Sales Managers' Indexes - By Region

New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Africa

  February 2015
Africa
The SMI registered 57.4 in February, down 0.8 from January. All indexes within the African SMI decreased during the month except prices charged which increased by 0.6.
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Americas
  January 2015
Americas
This Index brings together the collective wisdom of Sales Managers throughout the entire continent of The Americas to produce the earliest and only source of understanding about what’s really happening throughout the continents.
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Asia

  JANUARY 2015
Asia
Confidence among Sales Managers remains strong; meaning business conditions are to remain positive in the coming months for economic development.
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Growth Continents

  January 2015
Growth Continents
The Headline Index is designed to reflect overall economic growth, bringing together the average movement of Confidence, Market Expansion, Product Sales, Prices Charged and the Staffing Indices.
The Sales Managers' Index: Latin America

  February 2015
Latin America 
The Index registered 54.3 in February, down 0.4 from January, indicating that economic activity in the region continues to grow at a stable pace compared to previous months albeit at a slightly slower rate. 
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: NAFTA

  January 2015
NAFTA
The composite NAFTA Sales Managers’ Index is the best source of understanding about what’s really happening throughout the entire trading bloc.

The Sales Managers' Index Archive


  February 2015
All Countries and Regions
The full archive of Sales Managers' Indexes cover: Africa, Americas, Asia, Growth Continents, Latin America, NAFTA along with the United States, China, India and Mongolia. 



Global Price Indexes

The World Price Index

  FEBRUARY 2015
World Price Index
The WPI provides a monthly index of PPP exchange rates against the US Dollar across the world’s 15 largest economies.
Food Price Index

  February 2015
Food Price Index
The World Economics Food Price Index (FPI) is based on average end-user prices for a typical basket of grocery items in national currencies
Durable Goods Price Index

  February 2015
Durable Goods Price Index
Price Index for durable goods. e.g. Kettles and homeware.
Gasoline Price Index

  FEBRUARY 2015
Gasoline Price Index
Analysis of the average end-user prices for RON-95 Petrol in indexed from national currencies.
Hospitality Goods Price Index

  FEBRUARY 2015
Hospitality Goods Price Index
Hospitality service prices for the 15 top global economies in comparable index form.
Cost of Fun Price Index

  FEBRUARY 2015
Cost of Fun Price Index
The cost of recreational goods and services from Golf Clubs, iPads, music downloads to holiday flights.

Growth Trackers

Global Growth Tracker   annual update: 2014
World Economics research shows that the global economy grew for 51 out of the past 52 years. The World Economy grew at 3.8% per year between 1961-2013.
China   February 2015
China’s real GDP was unchanged at 7.4% in Q4 2014, unchanged compared to Q3 2014. Composite indicators continued to show strong growth, with the Li Keqiang Index at 153 in December.
Commonwealth    May 2013
The World Economics Commonwealth Growth Monitor contrasts the accelerating economic growth of the Commonwealth, with the 5 decade long decline in the rate of growth of the EU.
Eurozone    FEBRUARY 2015
Composite indicators continued to indicate weak economic activity, with the LEI at 112.4 in November. Retail sales registered a monthly rise of 0.3% in December compared to 0.7% in November.
India    FEBRUARY 2015
India’s economy expanded at an annual rate of 6.0% in Q3 2014 compared to 5.2% in the previous period. Consumer confidence remained high, with Nielsen Confidence Index up by 0.3 points in Q4.2014.
United States    FEBRUARY 2015
Non-farm payroll figures showed that 252,000 jobs were added in December. Composite indicators indicated strong economic growth, with the SMI up by 0.6 to 58.5 in December.

Release Schedule

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Spotlight: When to Buy and When to Sell Equities?


When to Buy and When to Sell Equities?


Spotlight: Growing US trade imbalance with China


Growing US trade imbalance with China


Spotlight: The UK Bank Rate (1694 – 2014)


The Bank Rate (1694 – 2014)

Spotlight: Eurozone Inflation (1997 – 2014)


The Bank Rate (1694 – 2014)




Classic Papers from the Archive



  What do Economists Know?
Economists can be confident about quite a lot of what they do think they know, even when they are disbelieved by large parts of the public not to mention political leaders and policy makers. Sir Alan Budd revisits some fundamentals.


  How to Tackle Poverty
This article argues that, beyond the headline-grabbing generalities, development economists are building up a detailed body of empirical evidence specific to individual countries which will shape more effective policy interventions in the years ahead.


  The Economics of Epidemics
An analysis of the economic implications of the Great Plague in the fourteenth century, the 1918–19 influenza epidemic, the HIV/AIDS curse and SARS to demonstrate the short- and long-term effects of different kinds of epidemics.


  The Value of Vaccination
Despite advances during the twentieth century, immunization coverage is far from universal and faces significant obstacles in both developing and developed countries. The paper shows that the economic effects via improved health - have been underestimated, thereby causing the rate of return to be underestimated.



  How Many Wildebeest do You Need?
A close look at the Wildlife Act, by pandering to the welfare lobby, the act removes all remaining incentives for communities and landowners to keep wildlife on their land.


  The Economics of Copyright
A review of the economic issues behind copyright and how these are challenged by changes in technology and market structure


  The Case for Narrow Banking
The paper argues that regulatory reform should emphasise systemic resilience and robustness, not more detailed behaviour prescription.
 


  The Costs of Violent Crime
A review of a number of studies that have sought to estimate the economic costs of criminal offending and, more specifically, violent crime.


  An Economic Analysis of the Mafia
This paper reviews the current economic thinking on the Mafia phenomenon and distinguishes the Mafia from ordinary criminal gangs by the desire of the exclusive right to commit criminal acts.



  Weapons Exports - The Bogus Moral Dilemma
Samuel Brittan argues that "unaffordable" ethical arms exports arise from a failure to understand the circular flow of income, the fallacy of a "lump of labour" and a long discredited mercantilist view of trade.


  Measuring Global Drug Markets
The continuing demand for measures of the size of global drug revenues has produced a supply of numbers that consistently overstate international financial flows. This paper shows that, rather than $500 billion, the annual figure in trade terms may be about $25 billion.




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