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Thought for the day
Ireland is Now Significantly Wealthier than the UK
Northern Ireland is far behind Britain
Last updated: 3 July 2024
Once upon a time about a century ago, Belfast was bigger than Dublin, and industrial Northern Ireland was much wealthier than the poor agricultural South. Today the roles are reversed.
Northern Ireland remains to a considerable extent dependant on handouts from London and is much poorer than prosperous Ireland. Dublin is now three times the size of Belfast and looks (unlike Belfast) like a thriving European city. Union with Britain doesn’t seem to have worked so well for Northern Island.
UK and Irish GDP growth over the past 25 years
Index: 1998 = 100
One reason often cited for the dramatic change is the attraction of the Irish low tax regime for major US multinationals. However the UK itself is often associated with tax haven status (the Channel Islands and British Virgin Islands spring to mind, not to mention the "
London Laundromat
". In recent years - since 2016 - the considerable divergence in GDP per capita growth (in favour of Ireland) is more likely explained by the Brexit vote of that year, with Ireland now a more favoured route into the EU than the more isolated United Kingdom.
David McWilliams, a notable Irish economist, wrote recently: “
the truth is the union with Britain has been an economic calamity for Northern Island
". Looking at GDP and GDP per capita data, this summary is not easy to refute...
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How Good is Governance Around the World?
To help investors asses risk in relation to Governance, World Economics produces a continuously revised global Index, to bring together crucial aspects of Governance that collectively measure countries in relation to rule of law, press freedom, political rights, and corruption. Europe leads the way with 87% of countries attaining Good (as rated A or B) levels of Governance. At the opposite end of the ...
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Dictators Lie About Economic Growth
Exaggeration, misrepresentation and suppression of economic data is endemic, and not new. Oskar Morgenstern, in his 1950 monograph "On the Accuracy of Economic Observations" made many pithy statements: " ...economic and social statistics are frequently based on deliberate lies " " In totalitarian countries the suppression of statistics is often carried very far " " The undeniable existence of an un...
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Africa’s Data Quality Problem
African GDP and Population data are both of very poor quality. Governance is also rated as being very poor, with many autocratic rulers interfering with economic data quality. Only 4% of African countries are rated as having A or B grade GDP data. The same percentage applies for Population data. Only 11% are rated as having A or B grade Governance. And eight of the top ten largest (by GDP) sub-Saharan...
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