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Thought for the day
What Percent of Your Portfolio Should be Asian? A review of Asian GDP Data Quality Ratings
Last updated: 7 January 2025
As noted in our review of
Asian Governance
, Asian GDP is bigger than that of Europe, the Americas and Africa combined. Asia accounts for well over half of global GDP. And Asian GDP growth has accounted for almost 70% of global growth over the past decade. So, shouldn't Asia comprise 50%+ of your investments by value?
Probably not. The problem with Asia is that this vast geographical space (however defined) includes many countries you probably wouldn't want to live in, and on whose data you cannot rely. This Thought reviews the lack of accurate GDP data in parts of Asia. World Economics defines
GDP Data Quality
using 5 measures.
The table below shows Asian countries Data Quality Indexes split into 5 Ratings segments.
Asian GDP Data Quality Ratings
Ranked by GDP Data Quality Ratings groupo and country name. A = As good as it gets, E = Extremely poor
Data source: World Economics
Note: World Economics measures GDP in GDP Purchasing Power Parity terms, with added estimates for the size of the Informal economy, and adjustments for outdated GDP base years
Unfortunately, 35% of countries feature in the D and E columns. Any country with E rated Data Quality is likely to be an unreliable place in which to measure country comparative size, growth, wealth, inequality and more. And a D Rating should give serious pause for thought (for more on this subject see
Places for Investors to Avoid
).
On the third day of this Asian series, we bring both Governance and Data Quality Ratings Indexes together to review which Asian countries remain as candidates for investment, after removing those with poor Governance and Data Quality problems.
More for subscribers:
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More perspectives using World Economics data
Dictators Lie About Economic Growth
Exaggeration, misrepresentation and suppression of economic data is endemic, and not new. Oskar Morgenstern, in his 1950 monograph "On the Accuracy of Economic Observations" made many pithy statements: " ...economic and social statistics are frequently based on deliberate lies " " In totalitarian countries the suppression of statistics is often carried very far " " The undeniable existence of an un...
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Pakistan’s Possible Climate Calamity
In its share of global growth over the last decade, Pakistan ranks 7th. It is the largest contributor in the Frontier Markets group. Yet, due to Pakistan’s already high average temperature, climate change – as for much of South Asia – will be a key challenge for this developing country. Moreover, its average temperature has been rising over recent decades. The World Bank Group’s Country Climate and ...
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Fastest Growing Countries in the Emerging Markets
The quality of economic data, and in particular GDP data, is of considerable importance. A number of countries produce GDP data of such poor quality that it is of little value in determining the size and growth of economic activity. World Economics reviews quarterly GDP and Population data quality for 155+ countries. Governance is also of great importance. Research shows that countries with little r...
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